Gold holds below record highs amid risk-on mood, though downside remains limited.

Gold prices faced intraday selling after hitting a fresh all-time high of $3357 during the Asian session as improving risk sentiment weighed on safe-haven demand. A modest rebound in the US Dollar from multi-year lows added further pressure. However, a significant pullback appears unlikely amid ongoing uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariff plans, rising US-China tensions and global recession risks. Fed Chair Powell's recent remarks also weighed on the market, as he warned that trade policies could increase inflation and slow growth, which continues to drive demand for safe-haven assets like gold.

XAU/USD TECHNICAL OVERVIEW 

Technical Structure: The appearance of a Bullish Marubozu candle on the daily chart indicates strong upward momentum, reinforcing a bullish outlook for gold. However, a Shooting Star pattern on 4-hour chart suggests short-term price exhaustion with a possibility of a slight pullback before the trend resumes.1-hour chart showcases a Bullish Flag pattern, signaling consolidation within an uptrend, indicating that a breakout to the upside is likely.

Intraday Strategy/Trend: Intraday Trend appears Bullish and favours Buy on Supports & Buy on Breakouts Strategy. Enter long positions at key support levels including 3314, 3300 and 3290 where price may find strong buying interest. Look for opportunities to buy on breakouts above resistance levels such as 33303348 and 3357.

Weekly Trend: Ultra Bullish


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Maddy

Cross-Asset Analyst & Trainer

Varun Sharma

Senior Strategist

VJ Yadav

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